Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life

Time Predictions: Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life

Time Predictions

The time prediction and planning capacity of the human race is particularly evident in some of the early great constructions. An excellent example is the building of the Great Pyramid of Giza, around 4500 years ago. We do not know much about the methods they used to predict the time needed and how they managed to finish the pyramid before the pharaoh’s death. Most likely, their time and resource predictions
were influenced by experience from building previous pyramids. However, even if they could use previous experience, they would have to adjust the predictions for differences in the pyramid’s size and location and the availability of resources. This is not an easy task, even for today’s construction planners, with better tools and more historical data.

Torleif Halkjelsvik --- Magne Jørgensen

https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2F978-3-319-74953-2.pdf

Spingger

2018

Baihaqi

Creative Commons

PDF

English

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